Forex Currency
Trading for beginners
You have heard that the currency is a quick
path to financial freedom. You know billions, not
trillions, of dollars are traded every day and think you
can do it, no problem. January 2008 an interesting month
for currency traders. In balancing the housing market to
collapse. Lending institutions take huge write-offs of
bad real estate loans. Brokerage firms and banks have
recently launched their heads because of excessive losses
in their mortgage divisions Trading.
U.S. stock market fall. Measures of consumer confidence was at
a level not seen since the early nineties. And on top of the
initial report of employment in the U.S. in January to December
2007 showed that the U.S. economy added only 18000 jobs
negligible number.
The decline in virtually every
economist and forex traders lips. To combat this bad news the
U.S. Federal Reserve, which has Cut short term interest rates
one hundred basis points over the past four months, will reduce
the Fed fund rate is 125 basis points only in January. This
included a meeting in mid-cut 75 basis points on 22 January,
the first time that serious measures were taken September 17,
2001, which was due to concern about the possible financial
implications of the attacks of September 11. In addition, I
believe that multiplier effect on the economy of poor housing
data is truly compelling. She undergoes a purchase less
expensive goods like furniture, washing machines, etc. and less
services, such as upgrading etc. Paintings reduced consumer
confidence, the less consumer spending thereby not putting
money to work in the economy. Consumers nervous about their
finances to spend less money. And, of course, less jobs created
needs little or any explanation.
It seemed as if committed storm, brewed
for the U.S. economy. So an experienced currency trader to do
all this in mind the basic information?
He or she will sell U.S. dollars right?
Finally, the Fed cut
interest rates 225 basis points in five butterflies. This
made the dollar less attractive on a yield basis. In
addition, the fixed income markets in the Fed Funds
Futures contract was valued at an additional 100 basis
points the rate cut by December 2008. Like every good
Forex trader knows, forward foreign exchange dealers will
take it into account when rolling your position. Plus,
given all the bad economic data, selling the dollar
seemed to be true right. Well, as a man speaks, except
death and taxes, there are no sure things. It was
February 19, when I write it. January 29, the night before the last
rate reduction by the Fed, the euro closed at 1.4775
against the U.S. dollar and Japanese yen closed at
107.10. As I write this three weeks, the euro traded at
1.4740 and 107.50 yen. Virtually unchanged from three
weeks ago.
All this, despite the worst economic
news was published in February.
So what happened? First, currency markets can be
rewarding countries that take operational measures for
the treatment of that concern them, rather than punish
them. For example, in addition to monetary easing, the
U.S. added $ 150 billion fiscal stimulus package.
So that is a factor. Secondly, as the euro and Japanese
yen have already received almost eleven percent against
the U.S. dollar since mid-summer 2007. There are
also signs of recent economic data in Europe that
economic growth may be slowing and lower rates may be in
the near future. Britain is already weakened.
So maybe the move will be
completed? Looking at long-term technical charts,
it is not finished yet.
This
proves that the currency is not only to buy or sell and take
their profits and go home. It requires a thorough economic and
technical analysis, risk control, discipline, and most of all
your time. Forex trading
has its own reward, but they do not come easily.
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